The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Franklin Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2005
Welterweight
VS
31%
Sanchez
69%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diaz
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Sanchez throws more volume but Diaz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Sanchez
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
28.9
46.0
Performance Avg
49.6
37
Quality of Victory
49
20
Momentum Score
46
Sanchez
Diaz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch1
7Ground1
Sanchez
Diaz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Sanchez
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
46
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
86%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
13
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
SanchezDiaz
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (89% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10