UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
32%
Saggo
68%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:55
JS
Jason Saggo
12 – 4
5'11"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
Gilbert
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
22 – 10
Well-Rounded5-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Burns

Burns holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Saggo has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Saggo throws more volume but Burns connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Burns has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Saggo
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saggo
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
39.8
49.0
Performance Avg
48.1
48
Quality of Victory
40
52
Momentum Score
28
Saggo
Burns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
49%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
15
8
Body
4
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance18
0Clinch0
1Ground3
Saggo
Burns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saggo
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
25/32 fights
Saggo
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Saggo
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saggo
Burns
Striking7.7 / 3.2Volume3.7 / 4.9Grappling0.8 / 3.8Wrestling0.6 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.2 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Saggo
Strike Zones
Burns
Saggo
Attacking
7HEAD8BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Burns
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD8BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the body (40% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the head (71% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saggo
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Saggo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L3.0L2014-062014-102016-032016-062016-122017-09
WinLossTrend

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.2W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W2.4L4.5W6.4W4.5W5.6W5.0W4.5W3.9L5.1W7.4L5.6W4.5W6.6L5.5L6.6L3.6L4.5L2014-072018-042020-052024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Saggo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Jason Saggo · Gilbert Burns
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