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UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Gonzaga
59%
Rothwell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 Β· 1:01
GG
Gabriel Gonzaga
"Napao"
17 – 11
6'2"76" reachOrthodox47 yrsStriker
CFR 19
BR
Ben Rothwell
39 – 14
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 27
β˜… Official Result
Gabriel GonzagawinsSubmissionR2 Β· 1:01
def. Ben Rothwell Β· UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rothwell
β†’
Actual result
Gonzaga wins
Submission Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Gonzaga at 41% vs Rothwell at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Rothwell throws more volume but Gonzaga connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gonzaga's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rothwell has a chin rating of 34 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GonzagaRothwell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Gonzaga
Rothwell
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gonzaga
Rothwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
27.0
53.9
Performance Avg
49.7
54
Quality of Victory
48
59
Momentum Score
45
Gonzaga
Rothwell
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Gonzaga
Rothwell
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gonzaga
Rothwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/53 fights
Gonzaga
Rothwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
59
45
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
Gonzaga
Rothwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
92%
78%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gonzaga
Rothwell
Striking6.9 / 5.5Volume1.8 / 2.8Grappling2.9 / 3.2Wrestling2.0 / 2.2Submission3.3 / 3.3Pressure8.1 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Gonzaga
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Gonzaga
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Rothwell
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gonzaga targets the head (75% of attacks) β€” Rothwell absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Rothwell targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Gonzaga absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Gonzaga
RND
Rothwell
0/0R00/0

Gonzaga Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W2.8L2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L5.0W5.0W6.6L1.5L2.8L4.5W2.7L2005-112008-072012-012014-122016-04
WinLossTrend

Rothwell Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.2W5.5L5.5L6.2L5.2W5.1W5.9L6.3W2.1L2009-102013-082019-032021-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Gonzaga Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos Β· 2016-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Konstantin ErokhinRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale Β· 2015-12
L Β· KO Β· R3
Mirko FilipovicRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 Β· 2015-04
L Β· KO Β· R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic Β· 2014-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson Β· 2014-01

Rothwell Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez Β· 2021-11
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt Β· 2021-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen Β· 2020-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira Β· 2020-05
W Β· KO Β· R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Β· 2019-12

News & Media

Gabriel Gonzaga Β· Ben Rothwell
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