UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
Shanghai, China
23 Aug 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
40%
Walker
60%
Mingyang
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mingyang
Mingyang holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Walker has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mingyang has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Walker's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Walker
Mingyang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'2"
82"+
Reach
75"
34
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walker
Mingyang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
75.5
54.6
Performance Avg
66.0
56
Quality of Victory
60
41
Momentum Score
100
Walker
Mingyang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
3.5
59%
Strike Accuracy
66%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
2
0
Body
1
8
Leg
5
RangeRange
8Distance8
0Clinch0
33Ground0
Walker
Mingyang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Walker
Mingyang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/32 fights
Chin rating based on
5/26 fights
Walker
Mingyang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Walker
Mingyang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Mingyang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
WalkerMingyang
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMingyang
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the head (80% of attacks) — Mingyang absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Mingyang targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Mingyang
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Mingyang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Walker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Mingyang · Last 5
Upcoming
Alonzo MenifieldUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Ozzy DiazRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

