UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
34%
Botelho
66%
Carolina
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PB
Poliana Botelho
8 – 5
5'8"67" reachOrthodox37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 24
Luana
Luana Carolina
"Dread"
11 – 5
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Carolina

Carolina holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Botelho has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Carolina throws more volume but Botelho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Carolina has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Botelho
Carolina
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+69"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Botelho
Carolina
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.2
47.8
39.1
Performance Avg
41.5
37
Quality of Victory
29
54
Momentum Score
80
Botelho
Carolina
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
2
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Botelho
Carolina
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Botelho
Carolina
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Botelho
Carolina
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Botelho
Carolina
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Botelho
Carolina
Striking4.2 / 2.9Volume6.2 / 7.9Grappling1.6 / 2.0Wrestling1.1 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Botelho
Strike Zones
Carolina
Botelho
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Carolina
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Botelho targets the head (40% of attacks) — Carolina absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Carolina targets the head (44% of attacks) — Botelho absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Botelho
RND
Carolina
0/0R00/0

Botelho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.7L6.1L2.7L2017-102018-112020-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Carolina · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W1.5L4.5W5.0W4.7L5.7L4.9W5.8W4.5W6.8L2019-052021-102023-072025-09
WinLossTrend

Botelho · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Lauren MuellerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Cynthia CalvilloRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11

Carolina · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · KO · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Poliana Botelho · Luana Carolina
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