UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Welterweight
VS
43%
Anjos
57%
Chiesa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
Michael
Michael Chiesa
"Maverick"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak38 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Chiesa

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 43% vs Chiesa at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anjos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chiesa has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anjos
Chiesa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anjos
Chiesa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
50.7
47.7
Performance Avg
53.3
41
Quality of Victory
43
49
Momentum Score
50
Anjos
Chiesa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Anjos
Chiesa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
2.4
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
5
Submission wins
9
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anjos
Chiesa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
22/27 fights
Anjos
Chiesa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Anjos
Chiesa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
9
12
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Chiesa
Striking3.1 / 1.4Volume5.7 / 4.6Grappling3.3 / 5.8Wrestling2.3 / 4.0Submission2.4 / 6.0Pressure4.8 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Anjos
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Anjos
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Chiesa
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Chiesa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Chiesa
0/0R00/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Chiesa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W2.8L5.2W4.5W4.8L4.5W5.7W6.2W1.5L2.8L5.2W4.5W4.7W5.1W3.0L6.6L2.1L5.5W6.1W4.7W5.7W2012-062015-042019-072024-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Chiesa · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Michael Chiesa
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