METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Welterweight
VS
46%
Anjos
54%
Chiesa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
3217
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Michael
Michael Chiesa
"Maverick"
207
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak38 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 51
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 46% vs Chiesa at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chiesa has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AnjosChiesa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Anjos
Chiesa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anjos
Chiesa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
50.7
47.7
Performance Avg
53.3
41
Quality of Victory
43
49
Momentum Score
50
Anjos
Chiesa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
6.3
5.7
Style: Volume
4.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Anjos
Chiesa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
2.4
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
5
Submission wins
9
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anjos
Chiesa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
37/49 fights
Chin rating based on
22/27 fights
Anjos
Chiesa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Anjos
Chiesa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
9
12
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Chiesa
Striking3.1 / 1.4Volume5.7 / 4.6Grappling3.3 / 5.8Wrestling2.3 / 4.0Submission2.4 / 6.0Pressure4.8 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Anjos
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Anjos
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Chiesa
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Chiesa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Chiesa
0/0R00/0

Anjos · Last 5

Upcoming
Alexander Hernandez
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · KO · R1
Geoff Neal
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz Gamrot
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente Luque
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan Barberena
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

Chiesa · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Niko Price
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max Griffin
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony Ferguson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin Holland
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Michael Chiesa
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