Eric Spicely vs Sam Alvey — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker

Sioux Falls, USA

13 Jul 2016

Middleweight

43%

Spicely

57%

Alvey

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 2:43

Eric Spicely

"Zebrinha"

12 – 6

6'1"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter

CFR 17

Sam Alvey

"Smile'N"

33 – 18

Well-Rounded8-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"

CFR 23

★ Official Result

Sam AlveywinsSubmissionR1 · 2:43

def. Eric Spicely · UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Alvey

→

Actual result

Alvey wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Spicely at 43% vs Alvey at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Spicely's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SpicelyAlvey

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Spicely

Alvey

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

+6'2"

73"

Reach

+75"

39+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Spicely

Alvey

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

17.3

22.9

43.8

Performance Avg

44.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Spicely

Alvey

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.6

/ 10

5.9

/ 10

7.9

Style: Pressure

5.5

0.6

Style: Volume

4.1

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance5

1Clinch3

0Ground0

Spicely

Alvey

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.0

/ 10

1.8

/ 10

5.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.2

10.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Spicely

Alvey

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/18 fights

Chin rating based on

24/51 fights

Spicely

Alvey

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

8-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

Upcoming

Spicely

Alvey

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Spicely

Alvey

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.9

8.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.8

5.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.2

10.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.0

7.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.5

0.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.1

Spicely

Strike Zones

Alvey

Spicely

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Alvey

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Spicely targets the head (57% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 57% of strikes there

🎯Alvey targets the head (75% of attacks) — Spicely absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Spicely

RND

Alvey

0/0R00/0

Spicely · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Deron Winn

Decision

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Darren Stewart

KO/TKO

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Gerald Meerschaert

KO/TKO

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Antonio Carlos Junior

Submission

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W · Sub · R1

Alessio Di Chirico

Submission

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Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Michal Oleksiejczuk

KO/TKO

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L · Sub · R2

Brendan Allen

Submission

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Wellington Turman

Decision

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L · Sub · R2

Julian Marquez

Submission

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Upcoming

Da Woon Jung

Decision

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News & Media

Eric Spicely · Sam Alvey

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