UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
20 Mar 2021
Middleweight
VS
46%
Brunson
54%
Holland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
6'1"77" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holland

This is a genuine toss-up — Brunson at 46% vs Holland at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Brunson
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+81"
42
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brunson
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
47.0
54.7
Performance Avg
49.3
47
Quality of Victory
44
72
Momentum Score
51
Brunson
Holland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
2
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance6
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Brunson
Holland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Brunson
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Brunson
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
69%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brunson
Holland
Striking6.3 / 4.3Volume4.2 / 3.6Grappling2.0 / 3.8Wrestling1.4 / 2.6Submission1.4 / 3.8Pressure6.5 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Brunson
Strike Zones
Holland
Brunson
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY4LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Holland
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY4LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the head (70% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brunson
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

News & Media

Derek Brunson · Kevin Holland
← Back to fights