METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
20 Mar 2021
Middleweight
VS
38%
Brunson
62%
Holland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Derek BrunsonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Kevin Holland · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
→
Actual result
Brunson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Holland holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Brunson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrunsonHolland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brunson
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+81"
42
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brunson
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.4
47.0
54.7
Performance Avg
49.3
47
Quality of Victory
44
72
Momentum Score
51
Brunson
Holland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.5
4.2
Style: Volume
3.6
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
2
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance6
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Brunson
Holland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Brunson
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Brunson
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
69%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brunson
Holland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
BrunsonHolland
Strike Zones
Brunson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedHolland
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the head (70% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brunson
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0
Brunson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisKO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03