★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Berlin, Germany
20 Jun 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
44%
Jedrzejczyk
56%
Penne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:22
JJ
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
16 – 5
5'6"65" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Jessica
Jessica Penne
14 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Penne

This is a genuine toss-up — Jedrzejczyk at 44% vs Penne at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jedrzejczyk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jedrzejczyk's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Penne has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
36.1
52.9
Performance Avg
34.1
44
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
63
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
32%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
5
6
Body
2
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
44Distance8
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/23 fights
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Striking3.3 / 0.7Volume7.7 / 6.0Grappling1.9 / 4.3Wrestling1.3 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure3.4 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Jedrzejczyk
Strike Zones
Penne
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
29HEAD6BODY11LEGS46 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Penne
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD6BODY11LEGS46 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (63% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Penne targets the head (63% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jedrzejczyk
RND
Penne
0/0R00/0

Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.4W5.3W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W2.9L6.9L5.2W6.9L4.5W7.3L4.6L2014-072015-112017-112019-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Penne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L3.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L3.4L5.5L2014-122017-042022-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Jedrzejczyk · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

Penne · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5
Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04

News & Media

Joanna Jedrzejczyk · Jessica Penne
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