METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Berlin, Germany
20 Jun 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
44%
Jedrzejczyk
56%
Penne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:22
★ Official Result
Joanna JedrzejczykwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:22
def. Jessica Penne · UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penne
→
Actual result
Jedrzejczyk wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jedrzejczyk at 44% vs Penne at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jedrzejczyk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jedrzejczyk's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penne has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JedrzejczykPenne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
38+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
36.1
52.9
Performance Avg
34.1
44
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
63
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
32%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
5
6
Body
2
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
44Distance8
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/23 fights
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
JedrzejczykPenne
Strike Zones
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPenne
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (63% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Penne targets the head (63% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jedrzejczyk
RND
Penne
0/0R00/0
Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Penne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jedrzejczyk · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04