METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Berlin, Germany
20 Jun 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
44%
Jedrzejczyk
56%
Penne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:22
★ Official Result
Joanna JedrzejczykwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:22
def. Jessica Penne · UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penne
→
Actual result
Jedrzejczyk wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jedrzejczyk at 44% vs Penne at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Jedrzejczyk's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penne has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JedrzejczykPenne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
36.1
52.9
Performance Avg
34.1
44
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
63
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
3.3
7.7
Style: Volume
6.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
5
6
Body
2
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
44Distance8
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/23 fights
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jedrzejczyk
Penne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
JedrzejczykPenne
Strike Zones
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPenne
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (63% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Penne targets the head (63% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jedrzejczyk
RND
Penne
0/0R00/0
Jedrzejczyk · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliKO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczSubmission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04