★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Dec 2017
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Montano
55%
Modafferi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
NM
Nicco Montano
5 – 3
5'5"65" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Modafferi

This is a genuine toss-up — Montano at 45% vs Modafferi at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Modafferi throws more volume but Montano connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Montano
Modafferi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+69"
37+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Montano
Modafferi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.8
42.5
Performance Avg
34.7
38
Quality of Victory
36
46
Momentum Score
15
Montano
Modafferi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
31%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
21
0
Body
4
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance20
3Clinch4
5Ground1
Montano
Modafferi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Montano
Modafferi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
12/46 fights
Montano
Modafferi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
15
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Montano
Modafferi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Montano
Modafferi
Striking1.0 / 3.2Volume9.0 / 6.7Grappling2.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Montano
Strike Zones
Modafferi
Montano
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY5LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD4BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Modafferi
Attacking
21HEAD4BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY5LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Montano targets the head (82% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Modafferi targets the head (84% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Montano
RND
Modafferi
0/0R00/0

Montano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W7.0L2017-122019-07
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Montano · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

News & Media

Nicco Montano · Roxanne Modafferi
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