UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Middleweight
VS
63%
Drwal
37%
Branch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Drwal
Drwal holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Branch has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Drwal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Drwal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Drwal's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Branch has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Drwal
Branch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+78"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Drwal
Branch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
11.9
53.9
Performance Avg
38.0
57
Quality of Victory
34
52
Momentum Score
36
Drwal
Branch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
38%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Drwal
Branch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Drwal
Branch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
10
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/28 fights
Drwal
Branch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Drwal
Branch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Drwal
Branch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
DrwalBranch
Strike Zones
Drwal
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBranch
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Drwal targets the head (75% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Branch targets the head (60% of attacks) — Drwal absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Drwal
RND
Branch
0/0R00/0
Drwal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Branch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Drwal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David BranchRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Drew McFedriesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Mike CiesnoleviczRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
W · KO · R1
Ivan SeratiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
Branch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05