★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Sylvia
49%
Monson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sylvia
This is a genuine toss-up — Sylvia at 51% vs Monson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sylvia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Sylvia throws more volume but Monson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sylvia's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sylvia
Monson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'8"+
Height
5'9"
80"+
Reach
74"
50+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sylvia
Monson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
20.2
63.7
Performance Avg
47.8
60
Quality of Victory
42
52
Momentum Score
89
Sylvia
Monson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
14
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Sylvia
Monson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sylvia
Monson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/41 fights
Chin rating based on
7/86 fights
Sylvia
Monson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
89
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Sylvia
Monson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sylvia
Monson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
SylviaMonson
Strike Zones
Sylvia
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMonson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sylvia targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Monson absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Monson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sylvia absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sylvia
RND
Monson
0/0R00/0
Sylvia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Monson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Sylvia · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
L · Dec · R5
Randy CoutureRating 5.5Decision
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
W · Dec · R5
Jeff MonsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · Dec · R5
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2Decision
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
Monson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Tim SylviaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
W · Dec · R3
Marcio CruzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
W · Sub · R1
Branden Lee HinkleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01