UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen
San Antonio, USA
25 Mar 2023
Middleweight
VS
66%
Njokuani
34%
Duraev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Njokuani
Njokuani holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Duraev has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Njokuani has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Njokuani has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Njokuani's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Njokuani
Duraev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Njokuani
Duraev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.8
29.8
47.0
Performance Avg
35.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
56
Njokuani
Duraev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
35%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
11
Body
2
2
Leg
12
RangeRange
21Distance17
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Njokuani
Duraev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Njokuani
Duraev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Njokuani
Duraev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Njokuani
Duraev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Njokuani
Duraev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
NjokuaniDuraev
Strike Zones
Njokuani
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedDuraev
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Njokuani targets the body (50% of attacks) — Duraev absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Duraev targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Njokuani
RND
Duraev
0/0R00/0
Njokuani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Duraev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Njokuani · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Carlos LealRating 6.3Decision
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Duraev · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
JunYong ParkRating 3.8Submission
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W · Dec · R3
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L · R2
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W · Dec · R3
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