UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
34%
Kianzad
66%
Chiasson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:54
Pannie
Pannie Kianzad
"Banzai"
17 – 9
5'7"66" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Macy
Macy Chiasson
11 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Chiasson

Chiasson holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kianzad has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Chiasson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Kianzad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Kianzad's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chiasson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kianzad
Chiasson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kianzad
Chiasson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
61.5
33.2
Performance Avg
53.0
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
96
Kianzad
Chiasson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Kianzad
Chiasson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kianzad
Chiasson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Kianzad
Chiasson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
96
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Kianzad
Chiasson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kianzad
Chiasson
Striking0.9 / 3.6Volume8.9 / 4.1Grappling2.4 / 2.9Wrestling1.7 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure1.4 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Kianzad
Strike Zones
Chiasson
Kianzad
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Chiasson
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kianzad targets the head (50% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Chiasson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kianzad absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kianzad
RND
Chiasson
0/0R00/0

Kianzad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.1L6.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.9L2.8L6.2L2018-112020-072021-092024-032024-08
WinLossTrend

Chiasson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W3.3L5.0W4.8L5.0W4.9W5.9L5.6L6.5L2018-112020-022022-092025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Kianzad · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

Chiasson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · R2
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 4.9
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Pannie KianzadRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

News & Media

Pannie Kianzad · Macy Chiasson
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