METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '96
Birmingham, USA
7 Dec 1996
Open Weight
VS
51%
Bowden
49%
Nilson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:46
★ Official Result
Tai BowdenwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:46
def. Jack Nilson · UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '96
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bowden
→
Actual result
Bowden wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bowden at 51% vs Nilson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Nilson throws more volume but Bowden connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Bowden
Nilson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
—
Age
—
Bowden
Nilson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
21.7
56.0
Performance Avg
56.0
60
Quality of Victory
60
59
Momentum Score
59
Bowden
Nilson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
2.2
100%
Strike Accuracy
85%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Bowden
Nilson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Bowden
Nilson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Bowden
Nilson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
59
W · KO · R1
L · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Bowden
Nilson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bowden
Nilson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BowdenNilson
Strike Zones
Career patterns
Bowden
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedNilson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bowden targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Nilson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nilson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bowden absorbs 92% of strikes there
Bowden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Nilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Bowden · Last 2
W · KO · R1
Jack NilsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '96 · 1996-12
L · R1
Steve NelmarkRating 4UFC 9: Motor City Madness · 1996-05
Nilson · Last 2
W · KO · R1
Saeed HosseiniRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 13: The Ultimate Force · 1997-05
L · KO · R1
Tai BowdenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '96 · 1996-12