Islam Makhachev vs King Green — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green

Las Vegas, USA

26 Feb 2022

Catch Weight

60%

Makhachev

40%

Green

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 3:23

Islam Makhachev

28 – 1

5'10"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs17-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 74

King Green

35 – 17

Well-Rounded4-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"

CFR 50

★ Official Result

Islam MakhachevwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:23

def. King Green · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Makhachev

→

Actual result

Makhachev wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Makhachev holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Green has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Makhachev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MakhachevGreen

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Makhachev

Green

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

5'10"

70"

Reach

+71"

34+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Makhachev

Green

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

73.9

50.1

69.4

Performance Avg

47.2

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Makhachev

Green

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.6

/ 10

4.1

/ 10

7.1

Style: Pressure

5.0

Style: Volume

5.4

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance4

2Clinch3

9Ground2

Makhachev

Green

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.5

/ 10

2.7

/ 10

3.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.9

4.4

Submission Style (/10)

1.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Makhachev

Green

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.2 stoppage

17 fights ago

Last KO loss

5 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/29 fights

Chin rating based on

32/52 fights

Makhachev

Green

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

17-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

4-fight 🔥 win streak

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R5

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Makhachev

Green

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

61%

47%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makhachev

Green

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.1

4.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.7

3.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.9

4.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.8

7.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.4

Makhachev

Strike Zones

Green

Makhachev

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Green

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Makhachev targets the head (71% of attacks) — Green absorbs 71% of strikes there

🎯Green targets the body (67% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makhachev

RND

Green

0/0R00/0

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08

W · Dec · R5

Jack Della Maddalena

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · Sub · R1

Renato Moicano

Submission

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Sub · R5

Dustin Poirier

Submission

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

W · KO · R1

Alexander Volkanovski

KO/TKO

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Green · Last 5

Upcoming

Esteban Ribovics

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · KO · R1

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Sub · R1

Jeremy Stephens

Submission

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R2

Daniel Zellhuber

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Lance Gibson Jr.

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

News & Media

Islam Makhachev · King Green

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