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UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
26 Feb 2022
Catch Weight
VS
60%
Makhachev
40%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 3:23
Islam
Islam Makhachev
28 – 1
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs16-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 75
King
King Green
35 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 49
β˜… Official Result
Islam MakhachevwinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 3:23
def. King Green Β· UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makhachev
β†’
Actual result
Makhachev wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

Makhachev holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings β€” but Green has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Makhachev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Green throws more volume but Makhachev connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Green has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MakhachevGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Makhachev
Green
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
34+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makhachev
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
74.5
49.0
69.8
Performance Avg
45.9
53
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
85
Makhachev
Green
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.9
3.2
60%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
2
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
2Clinch3
9Ground2
Makhachev
Green
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makhachev
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/29 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Makhachev
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
85
16-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
3-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Last 5
W Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Makhachev
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
65%
44%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
8
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makhachev
Green
Striking3.6 / 3.6Volume4.7 / 5.6Grappling4.6 / 2.9Wrestling3.2 / 2.0Submission4.7 / 1.9Pressure7.4 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Makhachev
Strike Zones
Green
Makhachev
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD6BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Green
Attacking
2HEAD6BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makhachev targets the head (71% of attacks) β€” Green absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the body (67% of attacks) β€” Makhachev absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Makhachev
RND
Green
0/0R00/0

Makhachev Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.1W4.5W6.7W5.6W5.9W5.7W6.5W6.0W6.5W6.8W5.8W6.0W2015-052018-072021-102024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Green Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Makhachev Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Β· 2025-11
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Β· 2025-01
W Β· Sub Β· R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
W Β· KO Β· R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 Β· 2023-10
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Β· 2023-02

Green Β· Last 5

W Β· Sub Β· R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
W Β· KO Β· R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh Β· 2026-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape Β· 2025-12
L Β· KO Β· R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Β· 2025-03
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· 2024-07

News & Media

Islam Makhachev Β· King Green
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