UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2025
Featherweight
VS
47%
Amil
53%
Delgado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Delgado
This is a genuine toss-up — Amil at 47% vs Delgado at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Delgado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Amil
Delgado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+74"
35
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Switch
Amil
Delgado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
65.5
52.0
Performance Avg
59.0
47
Quality of Victory
48
69
Momentum Score
78
Amil
Delgado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
3.1
58%
Strike Accuracy
61%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
0
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Amil
Delgado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Amil
Delgado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Amil
Delgado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Amil
Delgado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Amil
Delgado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
AmilDelgado
Strike Zones
Amil
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDelgado
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Amil targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Delgado absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Delgado targets the head (78% of attacks) — Amil absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Amil
RND
Delgado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Amil · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Delgado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Amil · Last 5
Upcoming
Christian RodriguezUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Jamall EmmersRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Jose DelgadoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
JeongYeong LeeRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
Delgado · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Hyder AmilRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Connor MatthewsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

