METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
San Jose, USA
19 Nov 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Bader
43%
Brilz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:17
★ Official Result
Ryan BaderwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:17
def. Jason Brilz · UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bader
→
Actual result
Bader wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bader at 57% vs Brilz at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brilz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaderBrilz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bader
Brilz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
71"
43+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bader
Brilz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
15.2
54.2
Performance Avg
38.1
40
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
63
Bader
Brilz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.6
6.3
Style: Volume
6.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bader
Brilz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bader
Brilz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Bader
Brilz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bader
Brilz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bader
Brilz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
BaderBrilz
Strike Zones
Bader
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBrilz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bader targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brilz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bader
RND
Brilz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisDecision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoKO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferDecision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallDecision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09