METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
San Jose, USA
19 Nov 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Bader
43%
Brilz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:17
★ Official Result
Ryan BaderwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:17
def. Jason Brilz · UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bader
→
Actual result
Bader wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bader at 57% vs Brilz at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bader has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brilz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaderBrilz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bader
Brilz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
71"
43+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bader
Brilz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
15.2
54.2
Performance Avg
38.1
40
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
63
Bader
Brilz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bader
Brilz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bader
Brilz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Bader
Brilz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bader
Brilz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bader
Brilz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
BaderBrilz
Strike Zones
Bader
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBrilz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bader targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brilz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bader
RND
Brilz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bader · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Brilz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09