UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
65%
Cormier
35%
Henderson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:53
DC
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
22 – 3
5'11"72" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
DH
Dan Henderson
"Hendo"
32 – 15
Well-Rounded55 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cormier

Cormier holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cormier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Cormier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Henderson has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cormier
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
47+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
13.8
68.1
Performance Avg
49.5
61
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
20
Cormier
Henderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Cormier
Henderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cormier
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
2
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
18/47 fights
Cormier
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Cormier
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
44%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cormier
Henderson
Striking4.3 / 5.4Volume4.5 / 5.4Grappling3.8 / 1.3Wrestling2.6 / 0.9Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
Cormier
Strike Zones
Henderson
Cormier
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Henderson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (79% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cormier
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0

Cormier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W7.3L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.1W5.9W6.1W6.3W4.4L6.6L2013-042015-012017-042019-082020-08
WinLossTrend

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.2W4.2W5.5L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W5.5L1998-052009-012013-112015-112016-10
WinLossTrend

Cormier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

Henderson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Daniel Cormier · Dan Henderson
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