UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Featherweight
VS
52%
Gamburyan
48%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
5'5"67" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
DN
Diego Nunes
"The Gun"
19 – 7
Well-Rounded43 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gamburyan

This is a genuine toss-up — Gamburyan at 52% vs Nunes at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gamburyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gamburyan's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gamburyan
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"
Reach
67"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gamburyan
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
14.1
40.4
Performance Avg
35.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
55
Gamburyan
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
5
0
Leg
9
RangeRange
4Distance16
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Gamburyan
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gamburyan
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Gamburyan
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Gamburyan
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gamburyan
Nunes
Striking0.9 / 1.0Volume4.9 / 9.0Grappling5.2 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Gamburyan
Strike Zones
Nunes
Gamburyan
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY9LEGS19 absorbed
Nunes
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY9LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (80% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gamburyan
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0

Gamburyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062009-012013-082016-042016-11
WinLossTrend

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2011-012011-062011-122012-042012-102013-01
WinLossTrend

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

Nunes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Bart PalaszewskiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06

News & Media

Manvel Gamburyan · Diego Nunes
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