METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Featherweight
VS
52%
Gamburyan
48%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Diego NuneswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Manvel Gamburyan · UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gamburyan
→
Actual result
Nunes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Gamburyan at 52% vs Nunes at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gamburyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gamburyan's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GamburyanNunes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gamburyan
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"
Reach
67"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gamburyan
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
14.1
40.4
Performance Avg
35.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
55
Gamburyan
Nunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
1
Body
5
0
Leg
9
RangeRange
4Distance16
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Gamburyan
Nunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gamburyan
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Gamburyan
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Gamburyan
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gamburyan
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
GamburyanNunes
Strike Zones
Gamburyan
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedNunes
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (80% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gamburyan
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Gamburyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Gamburyan · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
Nunes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Bart PalaszewskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06