UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops
Fayetteville, USA
10 Dec 2008
Heavyweight
VS
39%
McCully
61%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ES
CFR 21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sanchez
Sanchez holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but McCully has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sanchez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Sanchez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McCully
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+74"
50
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCully
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
21.3
35.0
Performance Avg
52.0
25
Quality of Victory
53
50
Momentum Score
78
McCully
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.4
34%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
1
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance6
4Clinch8
0Ground0
McCully
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McCully
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
McCully
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
78
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
McCully
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCully
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
McCullySanchez
Strike Zones
McCully
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCully targets the head (93% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (50% of attacks) — McCully absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCully
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McCully · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
McCully · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Mike RussowRating 5.5Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
W · Dec · R3
Eddie SanchezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Dec · R3
Antoni HardonkRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin McCullyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
L · KO · R2
Antoni HardonkRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
W · KO · R3
Soa PaleleiRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
W · KO · R2
Colin RobinsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 72: Victory · 2007-06
L · KO · R1
Mirko FilipovicRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02