UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Featherweight
VS
54%
Chikadze
46%
Swanson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chikadze
This is a genuine toss-up — Chikadze at 54% vs Swanson at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swanson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Chikadze
Swanson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chikadze
Swanson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.4
45.5
49.5
Performance Avg
48.8
38
Quality of Victory
40
75
Momentum Score
56
Chikadze
Swanson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
2
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Chikadze
Swanson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chikadze
Swanson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
26/45 fights
Chikadze
Swanson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
56
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Chikadze
Swanson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chikadze
Swanson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
ChikadzeSwanson
Strike Zones
Chikadze
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSwanson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chikadze targets the head (75% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Swanson targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chikadze
RND
Swanson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Chikadze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Chikadze · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin VallejosRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Calvin KattarRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

