UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Lightweight
VS
52%
Green
48%
Barboza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
King
King Green
3517
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
2414
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Green

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 52% vs Barboza at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Green
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
44.9
45.9
Performance Avg
46.3
38
Quality of Victory
40
85
Momentum Score
60
Green
Barboza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
4
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Green
Barboza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
30/52 fights
Chin rating based on
32/38 fights
Green
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
60
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Green
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
9
3
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Barboza
Striking3.6 / 6.1Volume5.6 / 5.1Grappling2.9 / 1.2Wrestling2.0 / 0.8Submission1.9 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Green
Strike Zones
Barboza
Green
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Barboza
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (56% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the head (64% of attacks) — Green absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Barboza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

King Green · Edson Barboza
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