METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Pickett
55%
Alcantara
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:59
BP
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
25 – 14
5'6"68" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
IA
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
35 – 10
Well-Rounded46 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Iuri AlcantarawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:59
def. Brad Pickett · UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Alcantara wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pickett at 45% vs Alcantara at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alcantara has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PickettAlcantara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Alcantara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pickett
Alcantara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
16.9
36.4
Performance Avg
48.0
37
Quality of Victory
41
60
Momentum Score
49
Pickett
Alcantara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.3
5.5
Style: Volume
5.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
22
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground15
Pickett
Alcantara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pickett
Alcantara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
18/45 fights
Pickett
Alcantara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
49
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Pickett
Alcantara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pickett
Alcantara
Striking2.7 / 4.2Volume5.5 / 5.2Grappling3.0 / 2.8Wrestling2.1 / 2.0Submission2.0 / 2.0Pressure3.9 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Pickett
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Pickett
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD4BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Alcantara
Attacking
22HEAD4BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the body (100% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pickett
RND
Alcantara
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pickett · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Marlon Vera
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah Faber
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri Alcantara
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco Rivera
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas Almeida
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07

Alcantara · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Cory Sandhagen
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe Soto
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro Perez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian Kelleher
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke Sanders
Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

News & Media

Brad Pickett · Iuri Alcantara
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