UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Spann
48%
Cutelaba
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:22
Ryan
Ryan Spann
"Superman"
24 – 11
6'5"79" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20 – 11
Well-Rounded32 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'1"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Spann

This is a genuine toss-up — Spann at 52% vs Cutelaba at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Spann throws more volume but Cutelaba connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Spann's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cutelaba has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Spann
Cutelaba
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
75"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Spann
Cutelaba
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.3
40.5
54.8
Performance Avg
47.1
50
Quality of Victory
47
10
Momentum Score
26
Spann
Cutelaba
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Spann
Cutelaba
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Spann
Cutelaba
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/35 fights
Chin rating based on
21/31 fights
Spann
Cutelaba
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
26
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Spann
Cutelaba
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Spann
Cutelaba
Striking5.3 / 5.4Volume2.9 / 3.6Grappling3.7 / 2.6Wrestling2.6 / 1.8Submission4.0 / 2.2Pressure7.5 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Spann
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Spann
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Cutelaba
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Spann targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Spann
RND
Cutelaba
0/0R00/0

Spann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W2.3L5.0W2.7L5.3W6.0W2.7L6.7L4.8L5.6W4.3L5.0W5.2W2018-092020-092022-112024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Cutelaba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W6.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L5.9W3.0L3.0L4.5W1.9L2.3L4.0L5.6W6.2L4.5W5.9W6.3L6.0W2016-062019-042022-052024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Spann · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Cutelaba · Last 5

Upcoming
Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Ryan Spann · Ion Cutelaba
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