METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Sydney, Australia
7 Nov 2014
Lightweight
VS
77%
Matthews
23%
Rocha
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:52
★ Official Result
Jake MatthewswinsSubmissionR2 · 1:52
def. Vagner Rocha · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matthews
→
Actual result
Matthews wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Matthews is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rocha has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rocha has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsRocha
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Rocha
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matthews
Rocha
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
16.1
48.4
Performance Avg
39.7
36
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
36
Matthews
Rocha
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
7.8
5.3
Style: Volume
0.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
1
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance6
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Matthews
Rocha
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Rocha
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Matthews
Rocha
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Matthews
Rocha
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Rocha
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MatthewsRocha
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRocha
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (69% of attacks) — Rocha absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Rocha targets the head (50% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Rocha
0/0R00/0
Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
Jake MatthewsSubmission
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