METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Aug 2020
Welterweight
VS
53%
Luque
47%
Brown
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:56
★ Official Result
Vicente LuquewinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:56
def. Randy Brown · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Luque wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Luque at 53% vs Brown at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luque has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LuqueBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luque
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luque
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
52.9
56.1
Performance Avg
48.7
50
Quality of Victory
39
79
Momentum Score
92
Luque
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
5.4
2.3
Style: Volume
5.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
24
4
Body
9
11
Leg
3
RangeRange
30Distance30
3Clinch6
4Ground0
Luque
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.1
7
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/28 fights
Luque
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
92
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Luque
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
LuqueBrown
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedBrown
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (59% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (67% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06