METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Rosholt
60%
Oleinik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:21
★ Official Result
Aleksei OleinikwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:21
def. Jared Rosholt · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleinik
→
Actual result
Oleinik wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Oleinik holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Rosholt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleinik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Oleinik throws more volume but Rosholt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RosholtOleinik
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rosholt
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+80"
39+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosholt
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
26.5
47.5
Performance Avg
52.0
29
Quality of Victory
51
75
Momentum Score
39
Rosholt
Oleinik
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
3
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance5
17Clinch6
0Ground2
Rosholt
Oleinik
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosholt
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
4
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Rosholt
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
39
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Rosholt
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
89%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosholt
Oleinik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
RosholtOleinik
Strike Zones
Rosholt
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedOleinik
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosholt targets the head (74% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Oleinik targets the head (85% of attacks) — Rosholt absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosholt
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rosholt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rosholt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Roy NelsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 4.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · KO · R3
Josh CopelandRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08