UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson
Austin, USA
22 Nov 2014
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Rosholt
60%
Oleinik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:21
JR
Jared Rosholt
14 – 4
6'2"75" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
AO
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60 – 17
Submission Hunter48 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'2"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oleinik

Oleinik holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Rosholt has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oleinik has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Striking split: Oleinik throws more volume but Rosholt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rosholt
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+80"
39+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosholt
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
26.5
47.5
Performance Avg
52.0
29
Quality of Victory
51
75
Momentum Score
39
Rosholt
Oleinik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
11
3
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance5
17Clinch6
0Ground2
Rosholt
Oleinik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosholt
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
4
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Rosholt
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
39
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Rosholt
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
89%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosholt
Oleinik
Striking3.2 / 2.2Volume8.2 / 1.9Grappling2.0 / 6.5Wrestling1.4 / 4.5Submission0.0 / 7.8Pressure3.4 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
Rosholt
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Rosholt
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Oleinik
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosholt targets the head (74% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Oleinik targets the head (85% of attacks) — Rosholt absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosholt
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rosholt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2013-112014-062015-032015-112016-02
WinLossTrend

Oleinik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W4.5W3.3L1.8L6.0L5.0W5.5L2014-062017-112020-012022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Rosholt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Roy NelsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · KO · R3
Josh CopelandRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Jared Rosholt · Aleksei Oleinik
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