UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Featherweight
VS
47%
Aldo
53%
Moicano
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:44
Jose
Jose Aldo
32 – 10
5'7"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moicano

This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 47% vs Moicano at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Aldo
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
50.3
53.6
Performance Avg
51.7
49
Quality of Victory
43
40
Momentum Score
64
Aldo
Moicano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
4
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance4
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldo
Moicano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldo
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Aldo
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Aldo
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
62%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldo
Moicano
Striking4.1 / 2.1Volume6.9 / 3.8Grappling1.7 / 5.0Wrestling1.2 / 3.5Submission0.0 / 5.4Pressure3.8 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Aldo
Strike Zones
Moicano
Aldo
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Moicano
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (50% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldo
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0

Aldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.9W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W3.8L3.8L5.5W6.0W7.0L5.5L5.5L5.3W5.0W5.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L6.6L2011-042014-102019-022021-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Aldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Jose Aldo · Renato Moicano
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