UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Featherweight
VS
47%
Nunes
53%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lentz
This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 47% vs Lentz at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lentz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Lentz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nunes
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
16.0
35.0
Performance Avg
45.3
25
Quality of Victory
35
55
Momentum Score
53
Nunes
Lentz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
2
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance5
2Clinch5
2Ground2
Nunes
Lentz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nunes
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/26 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Nunes
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Nunes
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
36%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Lentz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
NunesLentz
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedLentz
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (58% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lentz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Nunes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
W · Dec · R3
Bart PalaszewskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10