UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Featherweight
VS
50%
Sabatini
50%
Gomis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sabatini
This is a genuine toss-up — Sabatini at 50% vs Gomis at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Gomis throws more volume but Sabatini connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sabatini's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sabatini
Gomis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Sabatini
Gomis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
55.3
53.2
Performance Avg
46.6
34
Quality of Victory
30
81
Momentum Score
88
Sabatini
Gomis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
3
Body
3
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance6
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Sabatini
Gomis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sabatini
Gomis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Sabatini
Gomis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
88
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Sabatini
Gomis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sabatini
Gomis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.8
SabatiniGomis
Strike Zones
Sabatini
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGomis
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sabatini targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Gomis absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Gomis targets the head (55% of attacks) — Sabatini absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sabatini
RND
Gomis
0/0R00/0
Sabatini · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gomis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Sabatini · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 5.6Decision
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Gomis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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