UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
Fairfax, USA
15 May 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Pokrajac
55%
Maldonado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maldonado
This is a genuine toss-up — Pokrajac at 45% vs Maldonado at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pokrajac has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pokrajac's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maldonado has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
17.5
43.2
Performance Avg
39.8
50
Quality of Victory
36
33
Momentum Score
81
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
63%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
29
0
Body
7
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance28
3Clinch8
0Ground0
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/41 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
81
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pokrajac
Maldonado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
PokrajacMaldonado
Strike Zones
Pokrajac
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedMaldonado
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pokrajac targets the head (82% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Maldonado targets the head (81% of attacks) — Pokrajac absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pokrajac
RND
Maldonado
0/0R00/0
Pokrajac · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Pokrajac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
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L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan JimmoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Joey BeltranUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03