UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Jackson
42%
Evans
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 58% vs Evans at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Jackson throws more volume but Evans connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Evans has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jackson
Evans
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Evans
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
15.3
51.1
Performance Avg
53.1
44
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
25
Jackson
Evans
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
12
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
2Clinch2
4Ground8
Jackson
Evans
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Evans
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
23/27 fights
Jackson
Evans
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jackson
Evans
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
43%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Evans
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
JacksonEvans
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedEvans
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Evans
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10