METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Hamill
13%
Hollett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Matt HamillwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roger Hollett · UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hamill
→
Actual result
Hamill wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hamill is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hamill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Risk flags
Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HamillHollett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hamill
Hollett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"
Reach
49
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamill
Hollett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
2.7
51.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Hamill
Hollett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.5
Style: Volume
0.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
2
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
18Ground1
Hamill
Hollett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamill
Hollett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Hamill
Hollett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hamill
Hollett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hamill
Hollett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HamillHollett
Strike Zones
Hamill
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHollett
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hollett absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hollett targets the body (60% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hamill
RND
Hollett
0/0R00/0
Hamill · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettDecision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonKO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonDecision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizDecision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Hollett · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoDecision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillDecision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09