METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
87%
Hamill
13%
Hollett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Matt HamillwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roger Hollett · UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hamill
→
Actual result
Hamill wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hamill is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hamill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Hamill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HamillHollett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hamill
Hollett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"
Reach
49
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamill
Hollett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
2.7
51.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Hamill
Hollett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
2
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
18Ground1
Hamill
Hollett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamill
Hollett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Hamill
Hollett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hamill
Hollett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hamill
Hollett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HamillHollett
Strike Zones
Hamill
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHollett
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hollett absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hollett targets the body (60% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hamill
RND
Hollett
0/0R00/0
Hamill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hollett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Hamill · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Hollett · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09