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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Las Vegas, USA
14 Dec 2019
Middleweight
VS
76%
Soriano
24%
Piechota
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:17
Punahele
Punahele Soriano
"Puna"
13 – 4
5'11"72" reachSouthpaw33 yrsStriker
CFR 54
OP
Oskar Piechota
"Imadlo"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'0"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Punahele SorianowinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:17
def. Oskar Piechota · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Soriano
→
Actual result
Soriano wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Soriano is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Soriano's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Piechota has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SorianoPiechota
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soriano
Piechota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+76"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Soriano
Piechota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.5
16.6
49.9
Performance Avg
41.5
44
Quality of Victory
43
64
Momentum Score
63
Soriano
Piechota
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
4.7
4.6
Style: Volume
4.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
4
6
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance3
2Clinch4
14Ground1
Soriano
Piechota
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Piechota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Soriano
Piechota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
63
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Soriano
Piechota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Soriano
Piechota
Striking6.9 / 5.8Volume4.6 / 4.8Grappling1.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.7 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Soriano
Strike Zones
Piechota
Soriano
Attacking
20HEAD6BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Piechota
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD6BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (77% of attacks) — Piechota absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Piechota targets the head (50% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Soriano
RND
Piechota
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Soriano · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniil Donchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz Brahimaj
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay Veretennikov
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros Medic
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel Baeza
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

Piechota · Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Punahele Soriano
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Sub · R2
Rodolfo Vieira
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Gerald Meerschaert
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Tim Williams
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

News & Media

Punahele Soriano · Oskar Piechota
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