★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Anaheim, USA
29 Jul 2017
Welterweight
VS
37%
Woodley
63%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Woodley has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Woodley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Woodley
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
74"+
Reach
72"
44+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Woodley
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
32.4
58.9
Performance Avg
50.8
58
Quality of Victory
40
40
Momentum Score
100
Woodley
Maia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance6
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Woodley
Maia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Woodley
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Woodley
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Woodley
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
55%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
11
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodley
Maia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
WoodleyMaia
Strike Zones
Woodley
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMaia
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the head (60% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (75% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodley
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Woodley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillRating 5.1Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02