Tim Elliott vs Ali Bagautinov — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks

Las Vegas, USA

16 Nov 2013

Flyweight

70%

Elliott

30%

Bagautinov

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Tim Elliott

22 – 14

5'7"66" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 37

Ali Bagautinov

"Puncher"

15 – 6

Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"

CFR 16

★ Official Result

Ali BagautinovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Tim Elliott · UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Elliott

→

Actual result

Bagautinov wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Elliott is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ElliottBagautinov

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Elliott

Bagautinov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'4"

66"+

Reach

65"

39+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Elliott

Bagautinov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

36.9

15.8

38.0

Performance Avg

42.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Elliott

Bagautinov

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

3.5

Style: Pressure

3.5

6.5

Style: Volume

7.1

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

23Distance18

3Clinch0

0Ground0

Elliott

Bagautinov

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.1

/ 10

1.8

/ 10

2.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.3

3.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Elliott

Bagautinov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

23/36 fights

Chin rating based on

7/21 fights

Elliott

Bagautinov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R1

L · Sub · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

Elliott

Bagautinov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

30%

25%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott

Bagautinov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

4.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.8

2.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.3

3.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.5

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.1

Elliott

Strike Zones

Bagautinov

Elliott

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Bagautinov

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Elliott targets the head (69% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 69% of strikes there

🎯Bagautinov targets the head (89% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott

RND

Bagautinov

0/0R00/0

Elliott · Last 5

Upcoming

Edgar Chairez

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

Steve Erceg

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05

W · Sub · R2

Kai Asakura

Submission

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08

W · Sub · R1

Sumudaerji

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

L · Sub · R3

Muhammad Mokaev

Submission

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Kyoji Horiguchi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

W · Dec · R3

Geane Herrera

Decision

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

L · Dec · R3

Joseph Benavidez

Decision

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

L · Dec · R5

Demetrious Johnson

Decision

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06

W · Dec · R3

John Lineker

Decision

UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Tim Elliott · Ali Bagautinov

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