METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Flyweight
VS
70%
Elliott
30%
Bagautinov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tim
Tim Elliott
22 – 14
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
AB
Ali Bagautinov
"Puncher"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Ali BagautinovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Elliott · UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Bagautinov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Elliott is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Elliott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ElliottBagautinov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Bagautinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
39+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Bagautinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
15.5
37.9
Performance Avg
41.6
33
Quality of Victory
31
43
Momentum Score
45
Elliott
Bagautinov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
16
1
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance18
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Elliott
Bagautinov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Bagautinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Elliott
Bagautinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
45
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Elliott
Bagautinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott
Bagautinov
Striking0.9 / 3.6Volume6.5 / 7.1Grappling4.1 / 1.8Wrestling2.9 / 1.3Submission3.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Elliott
Strike Zones
Bagautinov
Elliott
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY7LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Bagautinov
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY7LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (69% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Bagautinov targets the head (89% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott
RND
Bagautinov
0/0R00/0

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W2.6L5.5L3.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L5.6W4.6W5.4L5.6W5.2W6.1L2012-052016-122020-052023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Bagautinov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W4.6W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W7.0L2013-092014-022015-102016-11
WinLossTrend

Elliott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Tim Elliott · Ali Bagautinov
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