Brad Katona vs Jean Matsumoto — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira

Las Vegas, USA

19 Oct 2024

Bantamweight

43%

Katona

57%

Matsumoto

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Brad Katona

"Superman"

16 – 5

5'6"64" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 42

Jean Matsumoto

17 – 2

Well-Rounded27 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"

CFR 55

★ Official Result

Jean MatsumotowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Brad Katona · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Matsumoto

→

Actual result

Matsumoto wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Katona at 43% vs Matsumoto at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Katona has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

KatonaMatsumoto

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Katona

Matsumoto

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

5'6"

64"

Reach

+68"

Age

+27

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Katona

Matsumoto

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

42.2

55.1

44.0

Performance Avg

45.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Katona

Matsumoto

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

1.3

/ 10

1.3

Style: Pressure

3.8

8.9

Style: Volume

7.3

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

20Distance23

2Clinch1

0Ground0

Katona

Matsumoto

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

3.8

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Katona

Matsumoto

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

9/21 fights

Chin rating based on

6/19 fights

Katona

Matsumoto

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Katona

Matsumoto

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

25%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Katona

Matsumoto

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.3

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.8

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

1.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.8

8.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.3

Katona

Strike Zones

Matsumoto

Katona

Attacking

22 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Matsumoto

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

22 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Katona targets the head (86% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 86% of strikes there

🎯Matsumoto targets the head (63% of attacks) — Katona absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Katona

RND

Matsumoto

0/0R00/0

Katona · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Bekzat Almakhan

KO/TKO

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Jean Matsumoto

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

W · Dec · R3

Jesse Butler

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

L · Dec · R3

Garrett Armfield

Decision

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

W · Dec · R3

Cody Gibson

Decision

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Matsumoto · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Bekzat Almakhan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Farid Basharat

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Miles Johns

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Rob Font

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Brad Katona

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Brad Katona · Jean Matsumoto

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