METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Katona
55%
Matsumoto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Brad
Brad Katona
"Superman"
16 – 5
5'6"64" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Jean
Jean Matsumoto
17 – 2
Well-Rounded26 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 52
★ Official Result
Jean MatsumotowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brad Katona · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matsumoto
→
Actual result
Matsumoto wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Katona at 45% vs Matsumoto at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Katona has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Matsumoto throws more volume but Katona connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
KatonaMatsumoto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Katona
Matsumoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
+68"
34
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Katona
Matsumoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.2
52.4
44.0
Performance Avg
43.9
44
Quality of Victory
33
40
Momentum Score
75
Katona
Matsumoto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
15
3
Body
3
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
20Distance23
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Katona
Matsumoto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Katona
Matsumoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Katona
Matsumoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Katona
Matsumoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Katona
Matsumoto
Striking0.9 / 1.2Volume8.9 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure1.3 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Katona
Strike Zones
Matsumoto
Katona
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD3BODY6LEGS24 absorbed
Matsumoto
Attacking
15HEAD3BODY6LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Katona targets the head (86% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Matsumoto targets the head (63% of attacks) — Katona absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Katona
RND
Matsumoto
0/0R00/0

Katona · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L4.7W5.6L4.5W6.4L2.6L2018-072019-092024-062025-05
WinLossTrend

Matsumoto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W4.9W6.7L4.5W7.0L2024-042024-102025-022025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Katona · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jesse ButlerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Matsumoto · Last 5

Upcoming
Bekzat Almakhan
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Brad Katona · Jean Matsumoto
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
⚡
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW→
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW→
🏙️
London Bet
The Capital's Choice
UK
🎁 New customer offer: New customer offer — great odds on MMA & UFC
BET NOW→
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours