UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Bantamweight
VS
73%
Simon
27%
Borg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Simon
Simon is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Simon throws more volume but Borg connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Simon
Borg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
63"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simon
Borg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
18.5
48.0
Performance Avg
42.5
38
Quality of Victory
32
56
Momentum Score
89
Simon
Borg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
16
1
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance23
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Simon
Borg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Simon
Borg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Simon
Borg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
89
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Simon
Borg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simon
Borg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
SimonBorg
Strike Zones
Simon
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBorg
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (94% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Borg targets the head (70% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simon
RND
Borg
0/0R00/0
Simon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Borg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Simon · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid BasharatRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Borg · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10