UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Nov 2016
Bantamweight
VS
77%
Munhoz
23%
Scoggins
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Munhoz
Munhoz is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Munhoz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Munhoz throws more volume but Scoggins connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Scoggins has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Munhoz
Scoggins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+66"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Munhoz
Scoggins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
13.5
46.2
Performance Avg
38.0
44
Quality of Victory
34
43
Momentum Score
39
Munhoz
Scoggins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
63%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
2
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Munhoz
Scoggins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munhoz
Scoggins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/30 fights
Chin rating based on
9/16 fights
Munhoz
Scoggins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Munhoz
Scoggins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Munhoz
Scoggins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
MunhozScoggins
Strike Zones
Munhoz
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedScoggins
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Munhoz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Scoggins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Munhoz
RND
Scoggins
0/0R00/0
Munhoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Scoggins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Munhoz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 6.3Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
Sean O'MalleyUFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05