METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Welterweight
VS
93%
Johnson
7%
Speer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:51
★ Official Result
Anthony JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:51
def. Tommy Speer · UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Speer has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonSpeer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Speer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Speer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
1.8
60.4
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Johnson
Speer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
29%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
11 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance0
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Johnson
Speer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Speer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Johnson
Speer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Johnson
Speer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
0%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Speer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JohnsonSpeer
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSpeer
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (93% of attacks) — Speer absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Speer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Speer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Speer · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12