METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Welterweight
VS
93%
Johnson
7%
Speer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:51
★ Official Result
Anthony JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:51
def. Tommy Speer · UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Speer has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonSpeer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Speer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
78"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Speer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
1.8
60.4
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Johnson
Speer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.6
Style: Volume
0.0
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance0
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Johnson
Speer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Johnson
Speer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Johnson
Speer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Johnson
Speer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
0%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Speer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JohnsonSpeer
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSpeer
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (93% of attacks) — Speer absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Speer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaKO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierSubmission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Speer · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Mac DanzigSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12