METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
88%
Levy
12%
Valdez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Natan LevywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Genaro Valdez · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Levy
→
Actual result
Levy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Levy is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Levy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Levy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LevyValdez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Levy
Valdez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Levy
Valdez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.8
4.4
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
44
Momentum Score
0
Levy
Valdez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
24%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
6
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Levy
Valdez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Levy
Valdez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Levy
Valdez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
44
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Levy
Valdez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Levy
Valdez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LevyValdez
Strike Zones
Levy
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedValdez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Levy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Valdez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Valdez targets the head (89% of attacks) — Levy absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Levy
RND
Valdez
0/0R00/0
Levy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Valdez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Levy · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Mike DavisRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Genaro ValdezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike BreedenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
Valdez · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Natan LevyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01