UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
88%
Levy
12%
Valdez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Natan
Natan Levy
"Lethal"
8 – 2
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 34
GV
Genaro Valdez
"Rayadito"
10 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Levy

Levy is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Levy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Levy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Levy
Valdez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Levy
Valdez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.8
4.4
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
44
Momentum Score
0
Levy
Valdez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
24%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
6
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Levy
Valdez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Levy
Valdez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Levy
Valdez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
44
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Levy
Valdez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Levy
Valdez
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume9.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Levy
Strike Zones
Valdez
Levy
Attacking
10HEAD6BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Valdez
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD6BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Levy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Valdez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Valdez targets the head (89% of attacks) — Levy absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Levy
RND
Valdez
0/0R00/0

Levy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.3L4.5W4.5W3.9L2021-112022-042022-122024-03
WinLossTrend

Valdez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0101.7L5.5L6.1L2022-012022-122023-07
WinLossTrend

Levy · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Mike DavisRating 3.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Genaro ValdezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike BreedenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11

Valdez · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Natan LevyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01

News & Media

Natan Levy · Genaro Valdez
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