METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Hidalgo, USA
17 Sept 2016
Welterweight
VS
29%
Montano
71%
Brown
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:18
★ Official Result
Randy BrownwinsSubmissionR3 · 0:18
def. Erick Montano · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Montano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 61 points.
Risk flags
Montano's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MontanoBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Montano
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+78"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Montano
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
52.9
73.3
Performance Avg
48.7
100
Quality of Victory
39
27
Momentum Score
92
Montano
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
5.4
8.7
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Montano
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.1
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Montano
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
22/28 fights
Montano
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
92
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Montano
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Montano
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.1
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
MontanoBrown
Strike Zones
Montano
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBrown
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Montano targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (100% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Montano
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Montano · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Max GriffinKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Randy BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Enrique MarinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06