UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
San Jose, USA
19 Nov 2011
Middleweight
VS
52%
Silva
48%
Le
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 52% vs Le at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Le connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Le has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Le
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
70"
49+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Le
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
17.3
48.5
Performance Avg
48.5
53
Quality of Victory
48
72
Momentum Score
49
Silva
Le
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
37%
Strike Accuracy
46%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
4
3
Body
7
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance16
11Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Le
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Le
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/48 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Silva
Le
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
49
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Silva
Le
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Le
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
SilvaLe
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedLe
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (81% of attacks) — Le absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Le targets the body (44% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Le
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Le · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · KO · R2
Cung LeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Chris LebenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Le · Last 4
L · KO · R4
Michael BispingRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
W · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Wanderlei SilvaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11