METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Welterweight
VS
63%
Alves
37%
Abedi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:32
★ Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:32
def. Papy Abedi · UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Alves holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Abedi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Abedi has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesAbedi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Abedi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alves
Abedi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
9.5
47.3
Performance Avg
25.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
33
Alves
Abedi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
0.8
4.3
Style: Volume
8.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
3
Body
4
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance9
1Clinch5
12Ground0
Alves
Abedi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Abedi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Alves
Abedi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Alves
Abedi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Abedi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
AlvesAbedi
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedAbedi
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (68% of attacks) — Abedi absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Abedi targets the head (64% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Abedi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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Abedi · Last 4
L · KO · R3
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UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11