METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Sao Paulo, Brazil
22 Sept 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
29%
Henrique
71%
Spann
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ryan SpannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Luis Henrique · UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spann
→
Actual result
Spann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Spann is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Henrique's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spann has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HenriqueSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henrique
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
74"
Reach
+79"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Henrique
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
41.9
41.7
Performance Avg
53.3
47
Quality of Victory
50
52
Momentum Score
10
Henrique
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
7.4
0.7
Style: Volume
2.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
1
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch3
6Ground11
Henrique
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henrique
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
17/35 fights
Henrique
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Henrique
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henrique
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
HenriqueSpann
Strike Zones
Henrique
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedSpann
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henrique targets the head (88% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (63% of attacks) — Henrique absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henrique
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
Henrique · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan SpannDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarDecision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Sub · R3
Christian ColomboSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Dmitrii SmoliakovSubmission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Spann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10