UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Sacramento, USA
17 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
35%
Moontasri
65%
Morono
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Morono
Morono holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Moontasri has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moontasri has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Morono throws more volume but Moontasri connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Morono has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moontasri
Morono
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
38
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Moontasri
Morono
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
35.0
46.2
Performance Avg
43.3
55
Quality of Victory
35
52
Momentum Score
20
Moontasri
Morono
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
58
7
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance50
1Clinch13
0Ground0
Moontasri
Morono
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moontasri
Morono
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
24/37 fights
Moontasri
Morono
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Moontasri
Morono
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moontasri
Morono
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.5
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
MoontasriMorono
Strike Zones
Moontasri
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
63 absorbedMorono
Attacking
63 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moontasri targets the head (47% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Morono targets the head (92% of attacks) — Moontasri absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moontasri
RND
Morono
0/0R00/0
Moontasri · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Morono · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Moontasri · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Anton ZafirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody PfisterRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoRating 7.8Decision
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L · KO · R1
Carlos LealRating 2.3KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 6.2Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
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