UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
San Diego, USA
15 Jul 2015
Bantamweight
VS
79%
Yahya
21%
Kanehara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yahya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Kanehara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yahya
Kanehara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yahya
Kanehara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
11.5
50.5
Performance Avg
28.3
39
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
40
Yahya
Kanehara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Yahya
Kanehara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yahya
Kanehara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
3/38 fights
Yahya
Kanehara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Yahya
Kanehara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Kanehara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
YahyaKanehara
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedKanehara
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Kanehara absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Kanehara targets the head (64% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Kanehara
0/0R00/0
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Kanehara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Kanehara · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Michael McDonaldRating 2.8Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
