UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2016
Flyweight
VS
58%
Borg
42%
Scoggins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borg
This is a genuine toss-up — Borg at 58% vs Scoggins at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Scoggins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Scoggins has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Borg
Scoggins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+66"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Borg
Scoggins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
13.5
42.5
Performance Avg
38.0
32
Quality of Victory
34
89
Momentum Score
39
Borg
Scoggins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.4
56%
Strike Accuracy
63%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch0
6Ground10
Borg
Scoggins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borg
Scoggins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
9/16 fights
Borg
Scoggins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Borg
Scoggins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borg
Scoggins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
BorgScoggins
Strike Zones
Borg
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedScoggins
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borg targets the head (86% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Scoggins targets the head (92% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borg
RND
Scoggins
0/0R00/0
Borg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Scoggins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Borg · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
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UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05