UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Arlovski
50%
Lins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Philipe
Philipe Lins
"Monstro"
18 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 50% vs Lins at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Arlovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski
Lins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Lins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
48.2
50.5
Performance Avg
46.9
47
Quality of Victory
34
94
Momentum Score
83
Arlovski
Lins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
3
Body
3
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Arlovski
Lins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Lins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Arlovski
Lins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
83
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Arlovski
Lins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
25%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Lins
Striking5.0 / 3.8Volume5.3 / 7.3Grappling1.9 / 1.8Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Lins
Arlovski
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY7LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Lins
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY7LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (41% of attacks) — Lins absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Lins targets the head (64% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Lins
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Lins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L2.1L4.9W5.6W4.5W4.8W2020-052020-062022-042023-022023-062024-03
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
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Decision
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KO/TKO
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Lins · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 4.8
Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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Decision
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W · KO · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6
KO/TKO
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Marcin PrachnioRating 4.9
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News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Philipe Lins
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