METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Arlovski
45%
Lins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andrei ArlovskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Philipe Lins · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Arlovski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 55% vs Lins at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiLins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Lins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Lins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
40.2
50.5
Performance Avg
46.9
47
Quality of Victory
34
94
Momentum Score
83
Arlovski
Lins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
5.3
Style: Volume
7.3
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
3
Body
3
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Arlovski
Lins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Lins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
6/23 fights
Arlovski
Lins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
83
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Arlovski
Lins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
25%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Lins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
ArlovskiLins
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedLins
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (41% of attacks) — Lins absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Lins targets the head (64% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Lins
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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